This tool helps trainers understand their odds of finding a shiny based on the number of encounters and specific event rates. Every shiny check is an independent event!
Probability of Finding at Least One Shiny:
100%
Dry Streak Probability (No Shiny):
0%
Expected Average Number of Shinies:
0
Please note that every encounter is independent and there is no "pity" system in Pokemon GO. Your chances remain the same for each individual click regardless of how long your dry streak is.
Shiny encounters are independent events, meaning your odds don't improve the more you check. We calculate the chance of seeing at least one shiny.
Formula: P = 1 - (1 - r)^n where r is the shiny rate and n is the number of encounters.
P = 1 - (1 - r)^n
Example: You check 400 Pokemon during a standard wild hunt where the rate is 1 in 512.
No. Each encounter is a 1-in-X roll that is independent of all previous encounters.
In Pokemon GO, this typically refers to the standard wild rate of approximately 1 in 512.
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